Category Archives: The Liminal Times

Fare Thee Well…Weirdly

This is the entirety of the most intriguing site on the internet, www.micromorts.rip. I didn’t even know .rip was an option, cuz I’d have been all under that.

Micromorts

💀 We are all going to die 💀


how to order disulfiram online Dying! It is what humans do. We do, however, attempt to delay this end for as long as possible. We continue to make horrible decisions around risk and death.

We can use micromorts to help track how risky an activity is and compare it to other activities. This will help us understand what is dangerous and what isn’t.

From wikipedia:

A micromort (from micro- and mortality) is a unit of risk defined as one-in-a-million chance of death Micromorts can be used to measure riskiness of various day-to-day activities. A microprobability is a one-in-a million chance of some event; thus a micromort is the microprobability of death. The micromort concept was introduced by Ronald A. Howard who pioneered the modern practice of decision analysis.

For instance, living one day at age 20 is 1 micromort, running a marathon is 7 micromorts, and riding a motorcycle for 60 miles is 10 micromorts. We can easily see that riding a motorcycle is more dangerous than running a marathon.

The following is a collection of activities and the micromorts of each activity. You can than compare, understand risks and then make decisions.

ActivityMicromorts
Mountaineering Ascent to Mt. Everest37932
Mountaineering in the Himalayas12000
Being infected by COVID1910000
Being infected by the Spanish flu3000
Mountaineerin Ascent to Matterhorn2840
Living in US during covid19 pandemic (July 2020)500
Getting out of bed (age 90)463
Base Jumping (per jump)430
First day of being born430
Giving birth (caesarean)170
Giving Birth170
Scuba diving (Trained) per year164
Giving birth (Vaginal)120
Getting out of bed (age 75)105
Giving Birth80
Night in Hospital75
Living in NYC during Covid19 (March 15 to May 9)50
Giving Birth50
Using Heroin30
serving in the U.S. armed forces in Afghanistan throughout 201025
Playing American Football20
Getting out of bed (under age 1)15
Ecstasy (MDMA)13
Going for a swim (Drowning)12
General Anesthetic (Emergency Operation)10
Riding a motorcycle (60 miles)10
Skydiving (per jump) (genera)10
SKydiving (US) (per jump)8
Skydiving (UK) (per jump)8
Hang gliding8
Running a Marathon7
Living in Maryland during Covid19 Pandemic (March 15 to May 9)7
Getting out of bed (age 45)6
Scuba diving (Trained) per dive5
Rock Climbing (per climb)3
Living 2 months with a smoker1
Walking 20 miles per day (Accident)1
Traveling 230 miles per day by. car. (accident)1
Traveling 1000 miles per day by plane(accident)1
Traveling 1000 miles per day by. train (accident)1
Eating 1000 bananas1
Spending 1 hour in a coal mine1
Eating 40 tsp of peanut butter1
Eating 100 char broiled steak1
One day alive at age 201
Skiing (per day)0.7
Horseback Riding0.5
Kangaroo Encounter0.1


L.A.’s Hottest Wheels

I’m not much of a grocery store shopper, maybe because I’ve cooked a total of 10 meals in my life. Maybe.

But I’ve discovered something that’s shot to the top of my shopping list whenever I go to Ralph’s, Food 4 Less or any other grocery store in the San Fernando Valley: a shopping cart.

They used to be easy to find in the Valley. A couple of them used to live at the end of my block. I once commandeered a cart to bring home motorcycle gear walking from the shop.

But a pandemic, recession and rising homeless population have made shopping carts harder to find than an honest plumber.

Two weeks ago, I found an abandoned cart in an empty parking space of my Ralph’s (the outdoor corral and entire store were empty). Last week, I found a cart but left my wallet in the car. When I tried to walk the cart to my car, the front wheels locked when I passed the security sensor. Yesterday required a five-minute search-and-shop scour.

I asked the store manager what happened.

“It’s the homeless,” she sighed. ”They’re even asking for them when people are packing their cars.”

She said the store had begun alerting customers to not feel rushed into unpacking. ”That cart is theirs as long as there’s something in it.”

But once the cart is empty, she said, clerks have to rush to fetch them.

Even with the store mandate, ”We can’t keep up,” she confided, unaware that the customer was an old newspaperman. So, being one, I researched the problem when I got home. Jesus.

According to the Food Marketing Institute, 2 million grocery carts are stolen every year, costing individual stores $8,000-$10,000 annually. Supermarketnews.com estimates a cart is stolen every 90 seconds. And those studies were pre-pandemic, in the age of human contact and heavy metals.

Now, a lifted cart is serious larceny. I Googled the cost of roll cages, and they routinely run from $200 to $500 – without an anti-theft system.


The solution is obvious and impossible: a return to the days when a clerk would help you load the car. Those went the way of the full-service gas station, and corporate Darwinism all but guarantees their permanent extinction.

And L.A. is its own nation-state: If it is happening here, it is likely headed to the other 49 – if it’s not already there.

Covid has proved a seismic shaking of the tree. All assumptions of everyday life are on the table, from the jobs we’re willing to work to the people we’re willing to talk to. I guess shopping carts shouldn’t be a surprise casualty.

Still, I had big plans for my 11th meal.

Buddy, Can You Spare an Airbus?

Evidentialism Factslap: An estimated $58 million in loose change is left behind on airplanes every year.

If you think the change in your couch adds up, just try a 747. It’s been estimated that as much as $58 million is left behind on airplanes every year — a princely sum, to be sure, but one that makes sense when you remember how many people are often in the air at any given time. In an average year, the Federal Aviation Administration handles more than 16 million flights — which is to say that you probably won’t become a millionaire by looking through the seats of your next flight as you deplane. (Global air passenger traffic dropped 61% in 2020 thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic; some projections see global air traffic returning to 2019 levels around 2024.) 

In fact, a great deal of loose change never even makes it off the ground. Nearly $1 million was left behind in security bins in 2018, all of which was collected — and kept — by the Transportation Security Administration. That amount, which the TSA is required to report, has been steadily growing in recent years: $531,000 was left behind in 2012, compared to $960,105 in 2018. If you don’t want to add to that number, you may want to go cashless on your next cross-country flight.